{"id":21980,"date":"2025-11-11T16:36:52","date_gmt":"2025-11-11T15:36:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/new.thinktopaz.cz\/?p=21980"},"modified":"2025-11-11T16:37:01","modified_gmt":"2025-11-11T15:37:01","slug":"pavel-havlicek-rusko-a-hybridni-utoky-co-nam-hrozi-a-jak-se-efektivneji-branit-policy-paper-3-2025","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/2025\/11\/11\/pavel-havlicek-rusko-a-hybridni-utoky-co-nam-hrozi-a-jak-se-efektivneji-branit-policy-paper-3-2025\/","title":{"rendered":"Pavel Havl\u00ed\u010dek: Russia and Hybrid Attacks: What Threats We Face and How to Defend More Effectively? (Policy Paper 3 \/ 2025)"},"content":{"rendered":"<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>\u00davod<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/60B0D04A-3D5E-46D4-A86C-2541124A0F8F#_ftn1\">[1]<\/a><\/strong><\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">V kontextu plnohodnotn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 invaze na Ukrajinu a nar\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00edho po\u010dtu hybridn\u00edch \u00fatok\u016f a vlivov\u00fdch aktivit ze strany Rusk\u00e9 federace a dal\u0161\u00edch nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed proti \u010dlensk\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm EU a NATO, se&nbsp;<strong>nutnost hled\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1stroj\u016f a opat\u0159en\u00ed k obran\u011b<\/strong>&nbsp;proti t\u011bmto \u00fatok\u016fm ukazuje jako st\u00e1le nal\u00e9hav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Rusk\u00e1 agresivn\u00ed imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed politika p\u0159itom zes\u00edlila zejm\u00e9na ve chv\u00edli, kdy Z\u00e1pad za\u010dal intenzivn\u011b podporovat Ukrajinu v jej\u00ed obran\u011b proti rusk\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 invazi.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">V reakci na tento v\u00fdvoj Rusko stejn\u011b jako dal\u0161\u00ed s\u00edly vyu\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed proti EU a NATO st\u00e1le intenzivn\u011bji celou \u0161k\u00e1lu hybridn\u00edch n\u00e1stroj\u016f \u2013 od dezinforma\u010dn\u00edch kampan\u00ed a kybernetick\u00fdch \u00fatok\u016f p\u0159es vm\u011b\u0161ov\u00e1n\u00ed se do volebn\u00edch proces\u016f, ekonomick\u00e9 manipulace a politick\u00fd n\u00e1tlak a\u017e po zneu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed energetick\u00fdch z\u00e1vislost\u00ed st\u00e1t\u016f EU. Tyto hybridn\u00ed n\u00e1stroje maj\u00ed za c\u00edl oslabit z\u00e1padn\u00ed demokratick\u00e9 struktury, podkopat jejich vnit\u0159n\u00ed soudr\u017enost a oslabit jejich schopnost efektivn\u011b reagovat na geopolitickou rozp\u00ednavost a agresivn\u00ed politiku Kremlu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">N\u00e1r\u016fst hybridn\u00edch \u00fatok\u016f, zejm\u00e9na pak ze strany Rusk\u00e9 federace, p\u0159edstavuje z\u00e1va\u017en\u00fd probl\u00e9m, proto\u017ee EU a NATO se \u2013 i p\u0159es zna\u010dn\u00e9 snahy \u2013 st\u00e1le pot\u00fdkaj\u00ed s probl\u00e9my v oblasti v\u010dasn\u00e9 reakce na tyto \u00fatoky a hrozby. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed struktury, kter\u00e9 se tradi\u010dn\u011b soust\u0159edily na konven\u010dn\u00ed vojensk\u00e9 hrozby, maj\u00ed pot\u00ed\u017ee s efektivn\u00edmi a koordinovan\u00fdmi odpov\u011b\u010fmi na tyto nov\u00e9 formy v\u00e1lky, je\u017e zahrnuj\u00ed nejen p\u0159\u00edm\u00e9 vojensk\u00e9 sabot\u00e1\u017en\u00ed a subverzn\u00ed operace, ale i nevojensk\u00e9 metody ovliv\u0148ov\u00e1n\u00ed a destabilizace v cel\u00e9m spektru strategick\u00fdch dom\u00e9n st\u00e1tu PMESII.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/60B0D04A-3D5E-46D4-A86C-2541124A0F8F#_ftn2\">[2]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">V souladu s pot\u0159ebou \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky a \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f EU a NATO reagovat na tyto negativn\u00ed vlivov\u00e9 n\u00e1stroje a hybridn\u00ed \u00fatoky proaktivn\u011b, je nezbytn\u00e9 tyto hrozby a n\u00e1stroje nejprve identifikovat a popsat, a n\u00e1sledn\u011b na n\u011b adekv\u00e1tn\u011b a promptn\u011b reagovat. Tento policy paper m\u00e1 proto za c\u00edl hrozby analyzovat a n\u00e1sledn\u011b navrhnout&nbsp;<strong>soubor proaktivn\u00edch opat\u0159en\u00ed vedouc\u00edch k budov\u00e1n\u00ed odolnosti EU a NATO<\/strong>&nbsp;proti hybridn\u00edm \u00fatok\u016fm a hrozb\u00e1m, a t\u00edm sou\u010dasn\u011b sni\u017eovat schopnosti a v\u016fli rusk\u00fdch hybridn\u00edch akt\u00e9r\u016f tyto aktivity v\u016f\u010di Z\u00e1padu realizovat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Anal\u00fdza se p\u0159itom nezam\u011b\u0159uje na ji\u017e existuj\u00edc\u00ed obrann\u00e1 nebo aplikovan\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed ze strany EU a NATO, kter\u00e1 jsou \u2013 jak se v posledn\u00ed dob\u011b ukazuje \u2013 \u010dasto m\u00e1lo efektivn\u00ed, ale soust\u0159ed\u00ed se na rozpracov\u00e1n\u00ed nov\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edstup\u016f Z\u00e1padu proti rusk\u00e9 agresi tak, aby Z\u00e1pad mohl b\u00fdt v tomto ohledu konkurenceschopn\u00fdm a vyrovnan\u00fdm soupe\u0159em.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Anal\u00fdza probl\u00e9mu<\/strong><\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pokud chce \u010cR, EU nebo NATO adekv\u00e1tn\u011b reagovat na hybridn\u00ed \u00fatoky a vlivov\u00e9 p\u016fsoben\u00ed, je nezbytn\u00e9 nejprve identifikovat a popsat soubor n\u00e1stroj\u016f hybridn\u00edho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed (tzv. hybrid warfare), kter\u00e9 jsou proti Z\u00e1padu vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1ny. Specifikem rusk\u00e9ho hybridn\u00edho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed je vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1stroj\u016f a metod, kter\u00e9 jsou&nbsp;<strong>\u0159\u00edzen\u00e9 nebo organizovan\u00e9 rusk\u00fdmi st\u00e1tn\u00edmi institucemi<\/strong>&nbsp;a kter\u00e9 kombinuj\u00ed v\u00edce hybridn\u00edch n\u00e1stroj\u016f a \u00fatok\u016f v ur\u010dit\u00e9m \u010dasov\u00e9m obdob\u00ed. Nejedn\u00e1 se tedy o izolovan\u00e9 pou\u017eit\u00ed jednoho n\u00e1stroje vlivov\u00e9ho p\u016fsoben\u00ed, ale o kombinaci v\u00edce n\u00e1stroj\u016f a metod hybridn\u00edho v\u00e1l\u010den\u00ed nap\u0159\u00ed\u010d r\u016fzn\u00fdmi strategick\u00fdmi dom\u00e9nami st\u00e1tu, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e tyto aktivity jsou souhrnn\u011b \u0159\u00edzeny institucemi s p\u0159\u00edmou \u010di nep\u0159\u00edmou vazbou na Rusko.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Evropsk\u00e9 Centrum Excelence pro boj s hybridn\u00edmi hrozbami v Helsink\u00e1ch definuje celou paletu strategick\u00fdch dom\u00e9n, ve kter\u00fdch Rusko a dal\u0161\u00ed hr\u00e1\u010di realizuj\u00ed hybridn\u00ed \u00fatoky proti c\u00edlov\u00fdm akt\u00e9r\u016fm (viz sch\u00e9ma \u010d. 1 n\u00ed\u017ee). Pro pot\u0159eby t\u00e9to anal\u00fdzy jsou tyto n\u00e1stroje shrnuty pouze v kontextu strategick\u00fdch dom\u00e9n st\u00e1tu PMESII.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Sch\u00e9ma \u010d. 1: Konceptu\u00e1ln\u00ed oblasti hybridn\u00edch hrozeb<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n<div class=\"wp-block-image\">\n<figure class=\"aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/top-az.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/Picture-1-300x297.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-6028\"\/><\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><img>Zdroj: The Landscape of Hybrid Threats, European Hybrid CoE in Finland, 2021.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/60B0D04A-3D5E-46D4-A86C-2541124A0F8F#_ftn3\">[3]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Z\u00e1pad se v sou\u010dasnosti pot\u00fdk\u00e1 s v\u00e1\u017en\u00fdmi probl\u00e9my p\u0159i adekv\u00e1tn\u00ed reakci na rusk\u00e9 hybridn\u00ed \u00fatoky a malign\u00ed vlivov\u00e9 p\u016fsoben\u00ed, a to p\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm kv\u016fli z\u00e1sadn\u00edm rozd\u00edl\u016fm v bezpe\u010dnostn\u00edch, zahrani\u010dn\u011bpolitick\u00fdch a ideologick\u00fdch konceptech mezi Ruskem a Z\u00e1padem. Zat\u00edmco z\u00e1padn\u00ed st\u00e1ty dlouhodob\u011b usiluj\u00ed o politiky, kter\u00e9 jsou zam\u011b\u0159eny na obranu, deeskalaci, konsenzus, dialog nebo podporu demokratick\u00fdch hodnot, Rusko se soust\u0159ed\u00ed na ofenzivn\u00ed, expanzivn\u00ed a imperialistick\u00e9 politiky a praktiky, kter\u00e9 usiluj\u00ed o dosa\u017een\u00ed geopolitick\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f i za cenu destabilizace sv\u00fdch protivn\u00edk\u016f a mezin\u00e1rodn\u011bpolitick\u00e9 agrese.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tento rozd\u00edl v p\u0159\u00edstupech vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed z\u00e1sadn\u00ed probl\u00e9m pro Z\u00e1pad p\u0159i reakci na hybridn\u00ed \u00fatoky. Z\u00e1padn\u00ed strategie, kter\u00e9 se historicky zam\u011b\u0159uj\u00ed na prevenci konflikt\u016f, diplomacii a multilater\u00e1ln\u00ed spolupr\u00e1ci, nejsou dob\u0159e p\u0159izp\u016fsobeny pro \u010delen\u00ed rusk\u00e9 agresi \u201ev \u0161ed\u00e9 hybridn\u00ed z\u00f3n\u011b\u201c, kter\u00e1 se projevuje skrze kombinaci vojensk\u00fdch, kybernetick\u00fdch, politick\u00fdch, ekonomick\u00fdch a informa\u010dn\u00edch \u00fatok\u016f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Z\u00e1padn\u00ed instituce nemaj\u00ed vytvo\u0159enou dostate\u010dn\u011b flexibiln\u00ed a proaktivn\u00ed reak\u010dn\u00ed strukturu, kter\u00e1 by se dok\u00e1zala efektivn\u011b postavit proti agresivn\u00edmu a neortodoxn\u00edmu rusk\u00e9mu zp\u016fsobu veden\u00ed hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky. Zat\u00edmco Rusko v tomto ohledu vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 nekal\u00e9 a z\u00e1rove\u0148 nekonven\u010dn\u00ed metody, kter\u00e9 zahrnuj\u00ed manipulaci, destabilizaci, \u0161pion\u00e1\u017e, subverzi, sabot\u00e1\u017e nebo t\u0159eba rozd\u011blov\u00e1n\u00ed spole\u010dnost\u00ed obou alianc\u00ed, Z\u00e1pad st\u00e1le p\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b s\u00e1z\u00ed na transparentn\u00ed, pr\u00e1vn\u00ed a konsensu\u00e1ln\u00ed p\u0159\u00edstupy, kter\u00e9 v kontextu rusk\u00e9 ofenz\u00edvy ne v\u017edy poskytuj\u00ed adekv\u00e1tn\u00ed odpov\u011b\u010f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tato ideologick\u00e1 a politick\u00e1 divergence mezi Ruskem a Z\u00e1padem vede k&nbsp;<strong>neefektivn\u00edm reakc\u00edm Z\u00e1padu na rusk\u00e9 hybridn\u00ed \u00fatoky<\/strong>, proto\u017ee tradi\u010dn\u00ed n\u00e1stroje zahrani\u010dn\u00ed, bezpe\u010dnostn\u00ed a obrann\u00e9 politiky nejsou schopny adekv\u00e1tn\u011b \u010delit modern\u00edm hybridn\u00edm metod\u00e1m, kter\u00e9 Rusko vyu\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 k dosa\u017een\u00ed sv\u00fdch c\u00edl\u016f. Aby Z\u00e1pad mohl efektivn\u011b \u010delit t\u011bmto hrozb\u00e1m, mus\u00ed p\u0159istoupit k proaktivn\u00edm opat\u0159en\u00edm v r\u00e1mci p\u0159\u00edstupu tzv. \u201eoffensive-deterrence\u201c, tedy c\u00edlen\u00fdm opat\u0159en\u00edm, kter\u00e9 nejen uk\u00e1\u017e\u00ed s\u00edlu a jednotu Z\u00e1padu, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 odrad\u00ed Rusko od dal\u0161\u00ed eskalace a realizace hybridn\u00edch \u00fatok\u016f. Tato opat\u0159en\u00ed by m\u011bla aktivn\u011b reagovat na aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed hrozby, pos\u00edlit obranu Z\u00e1padu a zlep\u0161it jeho odolnost. Mus\u00ed b\u00fdt proaktivn\u00ed, precizn\u011b c\u00edlen\u00e1, odstra\u0161uj\u00edc\u00ed, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 v souladu s pr\u00e1vn\u00edmi normami a z\u00e1padn\u00edmi ideologick\u00fdmi hodnotami.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Tento p\u0159\u00edstup se z\u00e1sadn\u011b li\u0161\u00ed od sou\u010dasn\u00e9 reaktivn\u00ed politiky Z\u00e1padu, kter\u00e1 b\u00fdv\u00e1 \u010dasto ne\u00fa\u010dinn\u00e1, \u0161patn\u011b c\u00edlen\u00e1, nekoordinovan\u00e1 a nejednotn\u00e1. EU a Z\u00e1pad se v sou\u010dasnosti nach\u00e1zej\u00ed v defenzivn\u00ed pozici, bez dominance, iniciativy a momenta v politick\u00e9m a hybridn\u00edm konfliktu s Ruskem. Navrhovan\u00e1 opat\u0159en\u00ed tedy p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed soubor proaktivn\u00edch krok\u016f, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed za c\u00edl znovu z\u00edskat iniciativu na geopolitick\u00e9 sc\u00e9n\u011b, pos\u00edlit bezpe\u010dnost Z\u00e1padu a \u00fa\u010dinn\u011b reagovat na c\u00edlen\u00e9 \u00fatoky a hrozby.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Proto\u017ee existuje siln\u00fd p\u0159edpoklad, \u017ee v\u0161echny \u010dlensk\u00e9 st\u00e1ty EU \u010di NATO se neshodnou na implementaci n\u00ed\u017ee navrhovan\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed, policy paper je navrhuje tak, aby bylo mo\u017en\u00e9 v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b nutnosti tato opat\u0159en\u00ed po m\u00edrn\u00e9 modifikaci pou\u017e\u00edt tak\u00e9 na n\u00e1rodn\u00ed \u00farovni. Sou\u010dasn\u011b lze tyto postupy realizovat tak\u00e9 na multilater\u00e1ln\u00ed \u00farovni v sou\u010dinnosti s n\u011bkolika dal\u0161\u00edmi st\u00e1ty (tzv. coalition of the willing), kdyby to nebylo mo\u017en\u00e9 v r\u00e1mci v\u0161ech \u010dlensk\u00fdch st\u00e1t\u016f EU\/NATO.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h6 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Doporu\u010den\u00ed<\/strong><\/h6>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u010cesko a Z\u00e1pad se mus\u00ed ve vztahu s Rusku i jin\u00fdm nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm obecn\u011b zam\u011b\u0159it na n\u011bkolik rovin, kter\u00e9 alespo\u0148 prozat\u00edm nebyly dostate\u010dn\u011b vyu\u017eity. Mezi nimi jsou to zejm\u00e9na: a) proaktivn\u00ed informa\u010dn\u00ed p\u016fsoben\u00ed a kredibiln\u00ed demonstrov\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00edly, b) kybernetick\u00e9 operace, c) sankce a jejich d\u016fsledn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed vym\u00e1h\u00e1n\u00ed, d) spolupr\u00e1ce se sp\u0159\u00e1telen\u00fdmi t\u0159et\u00edmi stranami stejn\u011b jako e) pos\u00edlen\u00ed \u010dinnosti v\u00fdzv\u011bdn\u00fdch slu\u017eeb a zadr\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska a dal\u0161\u00edch vyzyvatel\u016f po sv\u011bt\u011b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">V oblasti&nbsp;<strong>informa\u010dn\u00edho p\u016fsoben\u00ed<\/strong>&nbsp;Z\u00e1pad \u010dastokr\u00e1t nezvl\u00e1d\u00e1 proaktivn\u011b komunikovat, oslovovat sv\u00e9 spojence, odhalovat protivn\u00edky a tak\u00e9 demonstrovat svou mocenskou p\u0159evahu za \u00fa\u010delem ubezpe\u010den\u00ed vlastn\u00edho obyvatelstva o sv\u00e9 dominanci. Jak \u010desk\u00e1 vl\u00e1da, tak spojenci by se tomu m\u011bli mnohem v\u00edce v\u011bnovat a vyu\u017e\u00edvat v\u0161ech dostupn\u00fdch n\u00e1stroj\u016f, v\u010detn\u011b t\u011bch sahaj\u00edc\u00edch dovnit\u0159 autorit\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch spole\u010dnosti typu RFE\/RL ad. To samoz\u0159ejm\u011b plat\u00ed i vzhledem k ochran\u011b sv\u00fdch vlastn\u00ed demokratick\u00fdch instituc\u00ed a proces\u016f, proti kter\u00fdm Rusko dlouhodob\u011b vystupuje.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Z hlediska&nbsp;<strong>kybernetick\u00fdch schopnost\u00ed&nbsp;<\/strong>mus\u00ed Z\u00e1pad rovn\u011b\u017e uva\u017eovat mnohem v\u00edce proaktivn\u011b a p\u016fsobit jak proti agresorovi, v\u010detn\u011b v\u016f\u010di jeho vlastn\u00ed kritick\u00e9 infrastruktu\u0159e a citliv\u00fdm bod\u016fm, tak zejm\u00e9na proti tzv. \u0161ed\u00e9 z\u00f3n\u011b akt\u00e9r\u016f vystupuj\u00edc\u00edch v z\u00e1jmu Kremlu, ke kter\u00fdm se Rusko nap\u0159\u00edmo nehl\u00e1s\u00ed. Jsou o to v\u00edce legitimn\u00edmi c\u00edli bez mo\u017en\u00e9ho eskala\u010dn\u00edho potenci\u00e1lu.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Z\u00e1pad m\u00e1 na sv\u00e9 stran\u011b zna\u010dnou ekonomickou dominanci a tak\u00e9 s\u00ed\u0165 mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch partnerstv\u00ed v glob\u00e1ln\u00edm sv\u011bt\u011b, kter\u00e9 m\u00e1 potenci\u00e1l daleko v\u00fdrazn\u011bji vyu\u017e\u00edvat proti agresivn\u00edm mocnostem v oblasti&nbsp;<strong>mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch sankc\u00ed<\/strong>. Obzvl\u00e1\u0161t\u011b dom\u00e9na energetiky a finan\u010dnictv\u00ed, ale tak\u00e9 technologi\u00ed a tzv. zbo\u017e\u00ed dvoj\u00edho u\u017eit\u00ed p\u0159edstavuj\u00ed pro Kreml a jeho spojence d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 komponenty pro pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed agresivn\u00ed politiky v\u016f\u010di Ukrajin\u011b a Z\u00e1padu jako celku. Bohu\u017eel a\u017e p\u0159\u00edli\u0161 \u010dasto se na obch\u00e1zen\u00ed sank\u010dn\u00edho \u00fasil\u00ed pod\u00edl\u00ed tak\u00e9 z\u00e1padn\u00ed spole\u010dnosti a pouze omezen\u00e1 funk\u010dnost cel\u00e9ho syst\u00e9mu z hlediska implementace, co\u017e se ale d\u00e1 z\u00e1sadn\u00edm zp\u016fsobem zlep\u0161it jak na \u010desk\u00e9 n\u00e1rodn\u00ed, tak evropsk\u00e9 a mezin\u00e1rodn\u00ed \u00farovni.<a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/60B0D04A-3D5E-46D4-A86C-2541124A0F8F#_ftn4\">[4]<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Zatla\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed Kremlu a dal\u0161\u00edch revizionistick\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed v\u0161ak nep\u016fjde bez&nbsp;<strong>spolupr\u00e1ce s dal\u0161\u00edmi mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edmi akt\u00e9ry a prodemokratick\u00fdmi \u010dleny sv\u011btov\u00e9 komunity<\/strong>. Jak daleko v\u00fdrazn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed podpora zem\u00ed, kter\u00e9 v\u016f\u010di Rusku otev\u0159en\u011b vystupuj\u00ed v \u010dele s Ukrajinou, ale tak\u00e9 Moldavskem nebo Arm\u00e9ni\u00ed, m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt v\u00edtan\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvkem k realizaci opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by nap\u0159\u00edmo ze z\u00e1padn\u00edho pohledu mohly p\u016fsobit eskala\u010dn\u011b, av\u0161ak ze strany t\u0159et\u00edch zem\u00ed nikoliv.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Nakonec mus\u00ed Rusko a dal\u0161\u00ed mocnosti rozum\u011bt tomu, \u017ee nejen oni disponuj\u00ed mo\u017enostmi sabot\u00e1\u017en\u00ed \u010dinnosti a operac\u00ed hluboko na ciz\u00edm \u00fazem\u00ed. Z\u00e1pad a jeho spojenci dok\u00e1\u017eou celou \u0159adu krok\u016f takt\u00e9\u017e podnikat, a to zejm\u00e9na v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b pokra\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed eskala\u010dn\u00edch hybridn\u00edch operac\u00ed, kter\u00e9 dnes pozorujeme a jdou za horizont d\u0159\u00edv\u011bj\u0161\u00edch p\u0159edstav dokonce z dob studen\u00e9 v\u00e1lky.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/60B0D04A-3D5E-46D4-A86C-2541124A0F8F#_ftnref1\">[1]<\/a>&nbsp;Policy paper vznikl na z\u00e1klad\u011b p\u016fvodn\u00ed anal\u00fdzy Luk\u00e1\u0161e Hor\u00e1ka a Pavla Havl\u00ed\u010dka<em>&nbsp;Reakce EU na hybridn\u00ed \u00fatoky Rusk\u00e9 federace.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/60B0D04A-3D5E-46D4-A86C-2541124A0F8F#_ftnref2\">[2]<\/a>&nbsp;Z anglick\u00e9ho<em>&nbsp;Political, Military, Economic, Social, Information, Infrastructure.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/60B0D04A-3D5E-46D4-A86C-2541124A0F8F#_ftnref3\">[3]<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.hybridcoe.fi\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/conceptual_framework-reference-version-shortened-good_cover_-_publication_office.pdf\">https :\/\/www.hybridcoe.fi\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/conceptual_framework-reference-version-shortened-good_cover_-_publication_office.pdf<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"applewebdata:\/\/60B0D04A-3D5E-46D4-A86C-2541124A0F8F#_ftnref4\">[4]<\/a>&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.amo.cz\/en\/agenda-for-czech-foreign-policy\/options-for-better-sanctions-implementation-for-the-next-czech-government-2\/\">https:\/\/www.amo.cz\/en\/agenda-for-czech-foreign-policy\/options-for-better-sanctions-implementation-for-the-next-czech-government-2\/<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Policy paper je ve format pdf dostupn\u00fd zde: <div class=\"_3d-flip-book  fb3d-fullscreen-mode full-size\" data-id=\"21975\" data-mode=\"fullscreen\" data-title=\"false\" data-template=\"short-white-book-view\" data-lightbox=\"dark-shadow\" data-urlparam=\"fb3d-page\" data-page-n=\"0\" data-pdf=\"\" data-tax=\"null\" data-thumbnail=\"\" data-cols=\"3\" data-book-template=\"default\" data-trigger=\"\"><\/div><script type=\"text\/javascript\">window.FB3D_CLIENT_DATA = window.FB3D_CLIENT_DATA || 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&& FB3D_CLIENT_LOCALE.render && FB3D_CLIENT_LOCALE.render();<\/script><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00davod[1] V kontextu plnohodnotn\u00e9 rusk\u00e9 invaze na Ukrajinu a nar\u016fstaj\u00edc\u00edho po\u010dtu hybridn\u00edch \u00fatok\u016f a vlivov\u00fdch aktivit ze strany Rusk\u00e9 federace a dal\u0161\u00edch nep\u0159\u00e1telsk\u00fdch mocnost\u00ed proti \u010dlensk\u00fdm st\u00e1t\u016fm EU a NATO, se&nbsp;nutnost hled\u00e1n\u00ed n\u00e1stroj\u016f a opat\u0159en\u00ed k obran\u011b&nbsp;proti t\u011bmto \u00fatok\u016fm ukazuje jako st\u00e1le nal\u00e9hav\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Rusk\u00e1 agresivn\u00ed imperi\u00e1ln\u00ed politika p\u0159itom zes\u00edlila zejm\u00e9na ve chv\u00edli, kdy Z\u00e1pad za\u010dal [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":21945,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-21980","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-aktuality","category-policy-papers"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21980","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=21980"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21980\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":21981,"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/21980\/revisions\/21981"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/21945"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=21980"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=21980"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=21980"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}