{"id":22304,"date":"2026-05-14T11:22:43","date_gmt":"2026-05-14T09:22:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/?p=22304"},"modified":"2026-05-14T11:22:43","modified_gmt":"2026-05-14T09:22:43","slug":"pavla-prenosilova-pripadova-studie-zmeny-vnimani-ruska-v-ceske-politice-vybuch-municniho-skladu-ve-vrbeticich-policy-paper-3-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/2026\/05\/14\/pavla-prenosilova-pripadova-studie-zmeny-vnimani-ruska-v-ceske-politice-vybuch-municniho-skladu-ve-vrbeticich-policy-paper-3-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Pavla P\u0159enosilov\u00e1: P\u0159\u00edpadov\u00e1 studie zm\u011bny vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska v \u010desk\u00e9 politice: V\u00fdbuch muni\u010dn\u00edho skladu ve Vrb\u011btic\u00edch &#8211; Policy paper 3\/2026"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>\u00davod<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Je to v\u00edce ne\u017e 10 let, kdy v&nbsp;roce 2014 \u010ceskem ot\u0159\u00e1sla kauza v\u00fdbuchu muni\u010dn\u00edho skladu ve Vrb\u011btic\u00edch, b\u011bhem n\u011bj\u017e exploze usmrtily dva \u010desk\u00e9 ob\u010dany, kte\u0159\u00ed tam byli zam\u011bstn\u00e1ni.<a href=\"#_ftn1\" id=\"_ftnref1\"><sup>[1]<\/sup><\/a> Tehdej\u0161\u00ed premi\u00e9r Andrej Babi\u0161 a&nbsp;ministr vnitra Jan Ham\u00e1\u010dek ozn\u00e1mili v\u00fdsledky vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed v&nbsp;roce 2021, odhaluj\u00edc\u00ed jako vin\u00edky agenty rusk\u00e9 GRU, zodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 mimo jin\u00e9 za otr\u00e1ven\u00ed Sergeje Skripala v&nbsp;britsk\u00e9m Salisbury.<a href=\"#_ftn2\" id=\"_ftnref2\"><sup>[2]<\/sup><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">P\u0159esto\u017ee byly dopady odhalen\u00ed vin\u00edk\u016f v\u00fdbuchu ve Vrb\u011btic\u00edch v&nbsp;\u010desk\u00e9m kontextu zkoum\u00e1ny hlavn\u011b v&nbsp;medi\u00e1ln\u00edm diskurzu, ten parlamentn\u00ed byl zcela opomenut. Tento text m\u00e1 za c\u00edl tuto skute\u010dnost napravit a&nbsp;osv\u011btlit mo\u017en\u00e9 dopady odhalen\u00ed Ruska jako vin\u00edka tohoto v\u00fdbuchu na parlamentn\u00ed diskurz na p\u016fd\u011b Poslaneck\u00e9 sn\u011bmovny Parlamentu \u010cR. Pomoc\u00ed metodologie kvalitativn\u00ed obsahov\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy parlamentn\u00edch debat p\u0159ed a&nbsp;po roce 2021 byly identifikov\u00e1ny vyv\u00edjej\u00edc\u00ed se narativy hrozeb, vzorce sekuritizace a&nbsp;mechanismy a&nbsp;akt\u00e9\u0159i, jejich\u017e prost\u0159ednictv\u00edm je hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lka zastoupena v&nbsp;demokratick\u00e9 parlamentn\u00ed debat\u011b.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Rusko jako hrozba<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Vn\u00edm\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska jako hrozby po ozn\u00e1men\u00ed v\u00fdsledk\u016f vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed v\u00fdbuchu ve Vrb\u011btic\u00edch zintenzivnilo. D\u016fvodem pro tento trend byly nej\u010dast\u011bji alian\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1vazky (NATO) a&nbsp;poru\u0161en\u00ed mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho pr\u00e1va ze strany Ruska. \u010casto zmi\u0148ovan\u00fdm akt\u00e9rem byla tak\u00e9 BIS, kter\u00e1 Rusko jednozna\u010dn\u011b ozna\u010dila za hrozbu pro bezpe\u010dnost \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky a&nbsp;poslanci se na jej\u00ed v\u00fdro\u010dn\u00ed zpr\u00e1vy odvol\u00e1vali k&nbsp;legitimizaci ozna\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska jako hrozby.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Zv\u00fd\u0161en\u00ed prorusk\u00e9 r\u00e9toriky a tlak na vymezen\u00ed se<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Protirusk\u00e1 r\u00e9torika se nezv\u00fd\u0161ila uniform\u011b. Dle anal\u00fdzy vy\u0161lo najevo, \u017ee po ozna\u010den\u00ed Ruska jako vin\u00edka v\u00fdbuchu se ve Sn\u011bmovn\u011b sn\u00ed\u017eila \u010detnost ambivalentn\u00edch v\u00fdrok\u016f na \u00fa\u010det Ruska a&nbsp;p\u0159ibyly v\u00fdroky prorusk\u00e9, co\u017e m\u016f\u017ee znamenat protireakci na zv\u00fd\u0161enou kritiku a&nbsp;sekuritizaci Ruska. Tento trend zna\u010d\u00ed tlak na vymezen\u00ed se a&nbsp;stanoven\u00ed jasn\u00e9 pozice v\u016f\u010di&nbsp;agresorovi. Co se t\u00fd\u010de v\u00fdrok\u016f \u010dlen\u016f politick\u00fdch stran, nejv\u00edce pou\u017e\u00edvaly proruskou r\u00e9toriku ty ideologicky extr\u00e9mn\u00ed, v&nbsp;tomto p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b KS\u010cM a&nbsp;Hnut\u00ed SPD. P\u0159ev\u00e1\u017en\u011b se objevovaly narativy odsuzuj\u00edc\u00ed rusofobii, prosazuj\u00edc\u00ed dialog s&nbsp;Ruskem, pop\u00edraj\u00edc\u00ed Rusko jako hrozbu a&nbsp;zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00edc\u00ed \u010desk\u00e9 ekonomick\u00e9 z\u00e1jmy v&nbsp;Rusku. Toto zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed je v&nbsp;souladu s&nbsp;Mello &amp; Peters (2018),<a href=\"#_ftn3\" id=\"_ftnref3\"><sup>[3]<\/sup><\/a> kte\u0159\u00ed pova\u017euj\u00ed ideologick\u00e9 slo\u017een\u00ed parlamentu za kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd prvek utv\u00e1\u0159ej\u00edc\u00ed jeho diskurz, a&nbsp;zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00edm Jacucha (2024),<a href=\"#_ftn4\" id=\"_ftnref4\"><sup>[4]<\/sup><\/a> kter\u00fd pova\u017euje KS\u010cM za proruskou.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">SPD tak\u00e9 nejv\u00edce pou\u017e\u00edvalo neutr\u00e1ln\u00ed vlasteneckou r\u00e9toriku, a&nbsp;to r\u00e1mec 201epro-\u010desk\u00fdch201c z\u00e1jm\u016f. Strany TOP00a009, Pir\u00e1ti, KDU-\u010cSL a&nbsp;ODS naopak Rusko nejv\u00edce odsuzovaly. Co se t\u00fd\u010de hnut\u00ed ANO jako druh\u00e9 nejhojn\u011bji zastoupen\u00e9 strany v&nbsp;Poslaneck\u00e9 sn\u011bmovn\u011b ve volebn\u00edm obdob\u00ed 202120132025, to neprojevilo siln\u00e9 pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed ani jedn\u00e9 r\u00e9toriky, co\u017e zna\u010d\u00ed nejasn\u00fd \u010di&nbsp;rozt\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011bn\u00fd n\u00e1zor na Rusko, siln\u011b z\u00e1visej\u00edc\u00ed na osobn\u00edm p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed jednotliv\u00fdch poslanc\u016f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Hlavn\u00ed t\u00e9mata debaty<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Zaj\u00edmav\u00fdm trendem vych\u00e1zej\u00edc\u00edm z&nbsp;anal\u00fdzy je posun parlamentn\u00ed diskuze o&nbsp;konceptu hybridn\u00ed v\u00e1lky k&nbsp;diskuzi o&nbsp;hmatateln\u00fdch hrozb\u00e1ch a&nbsp;t\u00e9matech. Prominentn\u00edm t\u00e9matem debaty t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se Ruska byla \u010desk\u00e1 historick\u00e1 zku\u0161enost s&nbsp;t\u00edmto st\u00e1tem \u2013 zejm\u00e9na zm\u00ednky o&nbsp;sov\u011btsk\u00e9 okupaci v&nbsp;roce 1968, zku\u0161enost \u010desk\u00fdch legion\u00e1\u0159\u016f v&nbsp;Rusku a&nbsp;negativn\u00ed spojov\u00e1n\u00ed \u010dlen\u016f KS\u010cM s&nbsp;Ruskem. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee i&nbsp;v\u00edce ne\u017e 30 let po Sametov\u00e9 revoluci z\u016fst\u00e1vaj\u00ed historick\u00e9 reference na Rusko politicky relevantn\u00ed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Pokud se zam\u011b\u0159\u00edme na debaty o&nbsp;Milo\u0161i&nbsp;Zemanovi, \u010desk\u00e9m prezidentovi dlouhodob\u011b argumentuj\u00edc\u00edm ve prosp\u011bch Ruska, po v\u00fdbuchu ve Vrb\u011btic\u00edch debata o&nbsp;n\u011bm t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 ustala \u2013 a&nbsp;pokud ano, v\u0161echny parlamentn\u00ed strany se shodly v&nbsp;negativn\u00ed r\u00e9torice, ozna\u010duj\u00edce ho za spojence Ruska prosazuj\u00edc\u00edho vlastn\u00ed zahrani\u010dn\u00ed politiku.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mezi t\u00e9mata, kter\u00e1 se objevovala mnohem \u010dast\u011bji po ozn\u00e1men\u00ed v\u00fdsledk\u016f vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed, pat\u0159ily tender na dostavbu jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny v&nbsp;Dukovanech, energetick\u00e1 nez\u00e1vislost \u010cesk\u00e9 republiky a&nbsp;sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00ed po\u010dtu zam\u011bstnanc\u016f rusk\u00e9ho velvyslanectv\u00ed. Kauza Vrb\u011btice naopak zast\u0159ela debaty t\u00fdkaj\u00edc\u00ed se vakc\u00edny Sputnik \u010di&nbsp;odstran\u011bn\u00ed sochy mar\u0161\u00e1la Kon\u011bva.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Po ozn\u00e1men\u00ed vin\u00edka v\u00fdbuchu muni\u010dn\u00edho skladu ve Vrb\u011btic\u00edch byl v Poslaneck\u00e9 sn\u011bmovn\u011b pos\u00edlen narativ o Rusku jako hrozb\u011b. Po odhalen\u00ed rusk\u00e9ho zapojen\u00ed prudce klesla fragmentace n\u00e1zor\u016f v\u016f\u010di Rusku, co\u017e nazna\u010duje ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed m\u00edru r\u00e9torick\u00e9 ambivalence mezi poslanci. Protirusk\u00e1 r\u00e9torika se p\u0159itom nezv\u00fd\u0161ila jednotn\u011b \u2013 naopak pos\u00edlily prorusk\u00e9 narativy jako protinarativ. Mezi strany s nejv\u00edce proruskou r\u00e9torikou pat\u0159ily ideologicky extr\u00e9mn\u00ed strany SPD a KS\u010cM. Jako nej\u010dast\u011bj\u0161\u00ed zd\u016fvodn\u011bn\u00ed r\u00e1mov\u00e1n\u00ed Ruska jako hrozby se objevily mezin\u00e1rodn\u011b-pr\u00e1vn\u00ed a alian\u010dn\u00ed z\u00e1vazky.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">V\u00fdjimku p\u0159edstavuje b\u00fdval\u00fd \u010desk\u00fd prezident Milo\u0161 Zeman, jeho\u017e diskurz ztratil na sn\u011bmovn\u00ed relevanci, proto\u017ee byl v opozici v\u016f\u010di prok\u00e1zan\u00e9mu rusk\u00e9mu hybridn\u00edmu anga\u017em\u00e1 v \u010cesku a nezapadal do strategick\u00e9ho narativu Sn\u011bmovny o Rusku.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Pou\u017eit\u00e9 zdroje<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Corera, G. (2021, April 17). Salisbury poisoning suspects &#8216;linked to Czech blast&#8217;. BBC News. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/uk-56790053\">https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/uk-56790053<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Dvorakova, M., &amp; Syrovatka, J. (2021). <em>Vrb\u011btice: Case Study of Czech Resilience Against Hostile Propaganda.<\/em> PSSI Perspective. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pssi.cz\/publications\/55-pssi-perspective-12-vrbetice-case-study-of-czech-resilience-against-hostile-propaganda\">https:\/\/www.pssi.cz\/publications\/55-pssi-perspective-12-vrbetice-case-study-of-czech-resilience-against-hostile-propaganda<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Jacuch, A. (2024). Czech-Russian Relations. Russian Disinformation Campaign. <em>Polish Political Science Yearbook<\/em>, 53(1), 145\u2013166.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Mello, P. A., &amp; Peters, D. (2018). Parliaments in security policy: Involvement, politicisation, and influence. <em>British Journal of Politics &amp; International Relations<\/em>, 20(1), 3\u201318. <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/1369148117745684\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/1369148117745684<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">VOS, Debby a&nbsp;Peter VAN AELST. Does the Political System Determine Media Visibility of Politicians? <em>Political Communication<\/em>. 2018, 35(3), s. 371\u2013392.<strong><br><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Autor<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-alpha-channel-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"#_ftnref1\" id=\"_ftn1\">[1]<\/a>Corera, G. (2021, April 17). Salisbury poisoning suspects <em>&#8216;linked to Czech blast&#8217;. <\/em><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/uk-56790053\">https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/uk-56790053<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"#_ftnref2\" id=\"_ftn2\">[2]<\/a>Dvorakova, M., &amp; Syrovatka, J. (2021). Vrb\u011btice: Case Study of Czech Resilience Against Hostile Propaganda. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pssi.cz\/publications\/55-pssi-perspective-12-vrbetice-case-study-of-czech-resilience-against-hostile-propaganda\">https:\/\/www.pssi.cz\/publications\/55-pssi-perspective-12-vrbetice-case-study-of-czech-resilience-against-hostile-propaganda<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"#_ftnref3\" id=\"_ftn3\">[3]<\/a>Mello, P. A., &amp; Peters, D. (2018). Parliaments in security policy: Involvement, politicisation, and influence. <em>British Journal of Politics &amp; International Relations<\/em>, 20(1), 3\u201318. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1177\/1369148117745684<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><a href=\"#_ftnref4\" id=\"_ftn4\">[4]<\/a>Jacuch, A. (2024). Czech-Russian Relations. Russian Disinformation Campaign. <em>Polish Political Science Yearbook<\/em>, 53(1), 145\u2013166.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00davod Je to v\u00edce ne\u017e 10 let, kdy v&nbsp;roce 2014 \u010ceskem ot\u0159\u00e1sla kauza v\u00fdbuchu muni\u010dn\u00edho skladu ve Vrb\u011btic\u00edch, b\u011bhem n\u011bj\u017e exploze usmrtily dva \u010desk\u00e9 ob\u010dany, kte\u0159\u00ed tam byli zam\u011bstn\u00e1ni.[1] Tehdej\u0161\u00ed premi\u00e9r Andrej Babi\u0161 a&nbsp;ministr vnitra Jan Ham\u00e1\u010dek ozn\u00e1mili v\u00fdsledky vy\u0161et\u0159ov\u00e1n\u00ed v&nbsp;roce 2021, odhaluj\u00edc\u00ed jako vin\u00edky agenty rusk\u00e9 GRU, zodpov\u011bdn\u00e9 mimo jin\u00e9 za otr\u00e1ven\u00ed Sergeje Skripala [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":22141,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-22304","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-aktuality","category-policy-papers"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22304","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22304"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22304\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22305,"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22304\/revisions\/22305"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/22141"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22304"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22304"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thinktopaz.cz\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22304"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}