Tento policy paper je shrnutím studie, kterou pro TOPAZ zpracovali Fakta o klimatu a Frank Bold. Odborný obsah zpracoval autorský tým ve složení Jan Krčál (Fakta o klimatu), Laura Otýpková (Frank Bold) a Kateřina Kolouchová (Fakta o klimatu). TOPAZ pro tuto analýzu pouze stanovil klíčové otázky. Studie byla dokončena v březnu 2023 a její nezkrácená verze je dostupná zde:
A detailed analysis of the potential of solar and wind energy leads to two main conclusions:
- The production of electricity from the sun and wind can cover a substantial part of the consumption in the Czech Republic. By 2030, the production of renewable electricity can be increased by up to 20 TWh per year without jeopardising the security of electricity supply. As before, variable generation from RES can initially be supplemented by controllable coal and gas-fired power plants. In the next stages of decarbonisation, these fossil sources will then be gradually replaced by low-emission sources (e.g. efficient biomass CHP), solar and wind electricity will be increasingly stored in batteries and the strategic development of consumption flexibility will also be key.
- As solar energy develops significantly, the value of the electricity produced will gradually decrease. This will reduce the return on investment in solar energy. In the long term, it is therefore essential to develop wind power significantly, which will suffer less from this phenomenon.